Editor’s Note: This forecast has since been updated. Click here to read the latest timeline on the storm chances in Middle Tennessee on January 2 through January 3.
NASHVILLE, Tenn. (WKRN) — Temperatures will warm into the low 70s across much of the area to start the second day of the new year.
However, warm temperatures during the winter months can bring severe storms at a time of the year when the jet stream is active along with strong cold fronts.
We expect that to be the case, starting overnight Monday and lasting through Tuesday (possibly even Tuesday evening), with several waves of storms that could potentially bring damaging winds and even a few tornadoes.
Area of low pressure, carried by a very quick-moving jet stream will be vaulted into the eastern half of the United States by late Monday. This will be accompanied by a strong cold front that will bring several waves of storms, the first starting overnight Monday into early Tuesday morning, with a second following that morning through mid-afternoon, and a third Tuesday evening.
Severe weather outlook
Starting Monday night, the Storm Prediction Center has areas from Nashville westward in a Marginal Risk (level 1/5) for severe weather. Then on Tuesday, it is a Marginal Risk (level 1/5) for the majority of Middle Tennessee into Southern Kentucky with a Slight Risk (level 2/5) in place for our southern counties: Bedford, Coffee, Franklin, Giles, Grundy, Lawrence, Lewis, Lincoln, Maury, Moore, Perry, and Wayne. Don’t let the words “marginal” and “slight” fool you.
All severe weather threats are at play for this event, including a few tornadoes. The threat for tornadoes covers all of our area but increases to the south in the “Slight Risk” area. Rain amounts could total up to two inches.
Here is a preview of Future Tracker for Monday overnight through Tuesday. There will likely be several waves of storms. Bear in mind, these times may vary give or take an hour or 2.
Tuesday (several rounds)
Just when storms possibly clear the area late Tuesday afternoon, there could be one more line of storms developing Tuesday evening.
Temperatures start to cool down on Wednesday and get a lot colder by Friday with highs only in the 40s (normal for early January).
A few things to remember:
- Extreme warmth in a cooler month can lead to dynamic weather changes. In this case, severe weather is possible for our area Monday night & Tuesday.
- All weather threats are on the table for both days, including a few tornadoes.
- Colder air (seasonal temperatures) return for late week.
- Take time to review your severe weather safety plan.
Don’t forget to take the power and reliability of the WKRN Weather Authority with you at all times by downloading the News 2 Storm Tracker app.