Tropical Storm Karen Forms; Will Not Affect Mid TN; But Who? - WKRN News 2

Tropical Storm Karen Forms; Will Not Affect Mid TN; But Who?

Posted:

We talked about this yesterday, but here's the latest from the Hurricane Center:

DATA FROM AN AIR FORCE RESERVE HURRICANE HUNTER AIRCRAFT INDICATES
THAT THE AREA OF LOW PRESSURE LOCATED OVER THE SOUTHEASTERN GULF OF
MEXICO HAS BECOME A TROPICAL STORM AND IS PRODUCING WINDS OF UP TO
60 MPH IN THE EXTREME SOUTHEASTERN GULF OF MEXICO. A SPECIAL
ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED WITHIN THE NEXT HOUR...AND HURRICANE AND
TROPICAL STORM WATCHES WILL BE ISSUED FOR PORTIONS OF THE NORTHERN
GULF COAST. THIS SYSTEM HAS A HIGH CHANCE...NEAR 100 PERCENT...OF
BECOMING A TROPICAL CYCLONE DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS...AND A HIGH
CHANCE...NEAR 100 PERCENT...OF BECOMING A TROPICAL CYCLONE DURING
THE NEXT 5 DAYS AS IT MOVES NORTH-NORTHWESTWARD.

Back to Davis:

The tropical storm (should be named "Karen") will likely cross the Florida Panhandle coastline early Sunday morning, and move very quickly northeast from there (see GFS model forecast to the right).

This means it WILL NOT affect Middle Tennessee.

If the system strengthens to a Cat 1 hurricane, the upper level winds that will be bringing "our" cold front down from the north, should "shear it" back to tropical storm strength as it approaches the coastline.

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