We talked about this yesterday, but here's the latest from the Hurricane Center:
DATA FROM AN AIR FORCE RESERVE HURRICANE HUNTER AIRCRAFT INDICATES THAT THE AREA OF LOW PRESSURE LOCATED OVER THE SOUTHEASTERN GULF OF MEXICO HAS BECOME A TROPICAL STORM AND IS PRODUCING WINDS OF UP TO 60 MPH IN THE EXTREME SOUTHEASTERN GULF OF MEXICO. A SPECIAL ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED WITHIN THE NEXT HOUR...AND HURRICANE AND TROPICAL STORM WATCHES WILL BE ISSUED FOR PORTIONS OF THE NORTHERN GULF COAST. THIS SYSTEM HAS A HIGH CHANCE...NEAR 100 PERCENT...OF BECOMING A TROPICAL CYCLONE DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS...AND A HIGH CHANCE...NEAR 100 PERCENT...OF BECOMING A TROPICAL CYCLONE DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS AS IT MOVES NORTH-NORTHWESTWARD.
Back to Davis:
The tropical storm (should be named "Karen") will likely cross the Florida Panhandle coastline early Sunday morning, and move very quickly northeast from there (see GFS model forecast to the right).
This means it WILL NOT affect Middle Tennessee.
If the system strengthens to a Cat 1 hurricane, the upper level winds that will be bringing "our" cold front down from the north, should "shear it" back to tropical storm strength as it approaches the coastline.