First of all, let me say that it is TOO EARLY DEFINITIVELY PINPOINT WHETHER OR NOT WE COULD SEE STRONG TO SEVERE STORMS EARLY NEXT WEEK.
That being said, we have always said that this blog (www.nashvillewx.com) will often give you "behind the scenes" insights on what we are looking at in the News 2 Weather Department.
For the last few days, the two models most relied on to forecast 5-7 days out (GFS & ECMWF) have been trying to show a strong cold front approaching early next week.
What's more, they have been hinting at the possibility of low pressure developing along the front and passing just to our north. That would introduce the likely hood of severe weather.
They have "flipped & flopped" on the timing, and even whether or not the low(s) would develop on the front.
The 12Z (6AM) runs from today both still tried to imply that possibility as you can see in the three graphics to the right. The GFS even had two waves, one low on Monday morning, the other on Tuesday morning, implying two rounds of storms.
To give you an example of how crazy it is trying to forecast these systems, the GFS has an 18Z run (noon) that is coming out right now (it is now 9:15 Tuesday evening as I write this) implying the low on Sunday evening, 24 hours earlier!
ALL IN ALL, THIS IS JUST TO GIVE YOU A HEADS UP THAT WE WILL BE WATCHING THIS SITUATION VERY CLOSELY OVER THE NEXT SEVERAL DAYS FOR STRONG STORM POSSIBILITIES SUNDAY-TUESDAY!
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