Behind a warm front expect winds out of the south 10-20 mph pushing temperatures to near 80° for a high under partly cloudy skies.
As a cold front pushes our way from the west on Sunday, a line of storms should cross the Tennessee River near mid-day and push across Middle Tennessee during the afternoon and early evening hours.
Although it does not look like a widespread severe weather outbreak, a few of those storms could contain some straight line damaging winds.
The Storm Prediction Center has a "Slight Risk" for severe weather in Middle TN for Sunday.
The following is from their Day 2 Outlook:
FORECAST SOUNDINGS AT 00Z/MONDAY NEAR PADUCAH AND MEMPHIS SHOW
MLCAPE AROUND 1500 J/KG WITH ABOUT 40 KT OF DEEP LAYER SHEAR. THIS
COMBINATION OF SHEAR AND INSTABILITY SHOULD BE SUFFICIENT FOR SEVERE
STORMS. IN ADDITION...FORECAST SOUNDINGS SHOW STEEP LOW-LEVEL LAPSE
RATES WITH 30 KT OF FLOW JUST ABOVE THE SFC SUGGESTING A WIND DAMAGE
THREAT WILL BE POSSIBLE. HAIL MAY ALSO OCCUR WITH CONVECTION BENEATH
THE TROUGH IN THE LOWER OH VALLEY WHERE 500 MB TEMPS ARE FORECAST TO
BE AROUND -14C. FURTHER TO THE EAST IN THE CORRIDOR FROM CINCINNATI
TO NASHVILLE...SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WILL ALSO BE POSSIBLE MAINLY DUE
TO THE STRONG LOW-LEVEL FLOW AND ENHANCED DEEP LAYER SHEAR
ASSOCIATED WITH A 50 TO 65 KT MID-LEVEL JET. THE MODELS SUGGEST A
LINE OF STORMS WILL DEVELOP ALONG THE LEADING EDGE OF LARGE-SCALE
ASCENT AND MOVE INTO THE WRN APPALACHIAN MTNS SUNDAY EVENING.
ALTHOUGH WIND DAMAGE WILL BE POSSIBLE IF A LINE
DEVELOPS...INSTABILITY IS FORECAST TO BE WEAKER THAN IN AREAS TO THE
WEST SUGGESTING THE THREAT MAY BE MORE CONDITIONAL THERE.
The last sentence of their statement implies some weakening of the storms as they push into our area.
However, with so many folks outside on a warm Sunday afternoon, people should keep an eye on the sky, and obey lightning and thunderstorm safety rules by getting indoors should a storm threaten their area.
