If you are working at the Hurricane Center, you've got quite a job on your hands.
First of all, the models run anywhere from New Iberia and Lake Charles, LA to Pensacola, FL.
As a matter of fact, on the map to the right four models take it towards LA, only one to the FL panhandle, and one near Mobile Bay where the Hurricane Center is forecasting it to go.
As of this morning, the Hurricane Center is sticking with its guns on a landfall near Mobile Bay just after midnight Wednesday morning, but it's a nail biter.
They don't want to mess up with a very nervous New Orleans.
Secondly, the storm is expected to intensify to Cat 2 and slow down as it makes its way to shore.
Slower movement means three things:
1) Storm surge can pile up for longer.
2) Rain lasts longer causing more inland flooding .
3) Sitting longer in warm water could help more intensification.