First of all, I want to make it clear that we are looking a good 6 & 1/2 days out, and this is VERY subject to change.
There is a disturbance 1,100 miles east of the Lesser Antilles that shows promise of becoming a tropical storm or a hurricane.
Right now the GFS model shows it making its way across the Caribbean, across Cuba and towards Florida by the end of next weekend or early next week.
We know from experience that the GFS will probably modify that track as time goes on. It could even end up farther west in the Gulf of Mexico. The intensity is unknown, but it will likely be a named storm. It's something that we will have to monitor over the next 5-7 days.
The upper air and surface patterns show a well defined "Bermuda Ridge" extending westward from the Atlantic, so it is less likely to "re-curve" out into the Atlantic.
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